Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.026463 0.028508 0.030567 0.032790 0.035120 0.037488 0.040072
2025-12-28 0.023141 0.026368 0.029733 0.033493 0.037563 0.041824 0.046609
2026-01-04 0.020786 0.024672 0.028831 0.033587 0.038850 0.044470 0.050898
2026-01-11 0.018859 0.023198 0.027946 0.033486 0.039727 0.046500 0.054364
2026-01-18 0.017750 0.022511 0.027821 0.034119 0.041320 0.049237 0.058538
2026-01-25 0.016413 0.021450 0.027172 0.034067 0.042062 0.050958 0.061522
2026-02-01 0.015263 0.020523 0.026603 0.034036 0.042767 0.052588 0.064365
2026-02-08 0.014226 0.019661 0.026050 0.033969 0.043381 0.054076 0.067014
2026-02-15 0.013270 0.018840 0.025493 0.033850 0.043895 0.055417 0.069470
2026-02-22 0.012442 0.018131 0.025030 0.033804 0.044462 0.056795 0.071951
2026-03-01 0.011540 0.017276 0.024345 0.033451 0.044629 0.057678 0.073832
2026-03-08 0.010580 0.016298 0.023463 0.032813 0.044416 0.058080 0.075124
2026-03-15 0.009546 0.015205 0.022434 0.032010 0.044040 0.058346 0.076339
2026-03-22 0.009194 0.015019 0.022567 0.032679 0.045493 0.060842 0.080263
2026-03-29 0.008641 0.014524 0.022270 0.032773 0.046214 0.062438 0.083097
2026-04-05 0.008058 0.013951 0.021841 0.032673 0.046671 0.063699 0.085520
2026-04-12 0.007789 0.013808 0.021974 0.033296 0.048038 0.066077 0.089307
2026-04-19 0.007297 0.013315 0.021610 0.033244 0.048530 0.067366 0.091761
2026-04-26 0.006848 0.012860 0.021276 0.033214 0.049036 0.068663 0.094221
2026-05-03 0.006419 0.012409 0.020928 0.033148 0.049482 0.069876 0.096573
2026-05-10 0.006003 0.011954 0.020555 0.033031 0.049849 0.070982 0.098788
2026-05-17 0.005636 0.011557 0.020246 0.032986 0.050298 0.072185 0.101122
2026-05-24 0.005206 0.011032 0.019732 0.032639 0.050332 0.072849 0.102774